NFL Field Goals: Why They're Longer (and More Missed!)
Meta: Explore the trend of increasing NFL field goal distances, the reasons behind it, and the impact on the game this season.
Introduction
The world of NFL field goals is constantly evolving, and recently, the trend of longer attempts has become increasingly noticeable. This isn't just a random fluctuation; it's a deliberate strategy shift influenced by a confluence of factors. From advancements in kicking techniques and player training to data-driven coaching decisions and rule changes, several elements are contributing to this change. But are longer field goals always the best option? The data suggests it's more complicated than that, with missed kicks becoming more frequent and impacting game outcomes. This article will delve into the reasons behind the trend of longer field goals in the NFL, explore the key factors driving this change, and analyze the consequences for teams and the game itself. We'll cover the changes we've seen this season and how they impact your favorite team.
The Rise of the Long Field Goal: Understanding the Trend
The primary takeaway here is that NFL field goal attempts are, on average, getting longer, and this trend is driven by a mix of strategic, athletic, and even rule-related factors. Over the past decade, we've witnessed a gradual but steady increase in the average distance of field goal attempts. This isn't just happening at the professional level; even college and high school kickers are pushing the boundaries of what's possible. But why? Several factors are at play.
First, advancements in training techniques and the specialization of kicking roles have led to more physically gifted and technically sound kickers. Today's kickers benefit from specialized coaching, advanced strength and conditioning programs, and a deeper understanding of the biomechanics of kicking. This translates to greater leg strength, improved accuracy, and the ability to consistently hit from longer distances. The game has changed, and with it the abilities of the players.
Second, the rise of analytics in football has played a significant role. Teams are now more likely to go for it on fourth down in situations where a long field goal attempt would have been the default decision in the past. This shift is driven by data that shows the expected value of going for it on fourth down, even in seemingly unfavorable situations, can often exceed the probability of successfully converting a long field goal and the potential points gained. This is a real change to the thought process in the game.
Finally, rule changes implemented by the NFL, such as moving the kickoff point, have indirectly impacted field goal strategy. By reducing touchbacks and increasing the likelihood of kick returns, the value of pinning opponents deep in their own territory has diminished. This makes long field goal attempts from just across midfield a more palatable option than punting, particularly when considering the potential for a touchback or a short return.
